Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.025879 0.028129 0.030484 0.033133 0.036031 0.039107 0.042622
2025-07-20 0.022112 0.025341 0.028916 0.033172 0.038111 0.043671 0.050419
2025-07-27 0.019766 0.023559 0.027938 0.033378 0.039977 0.047745 0.057618
2025-08-03 0.017831 0.021934 0.026832 0.033133 0.041055 0.050730 0.063504
2025-08-10 0.016572 0.020947 0.026324 0.033452 0.042701 0.054362 0.070286
2025-08-17 0.015211 0.019686 0.025328 0.033006 0.043247 0.056532 0.075219
2025-08-24 0.014007 0.018517 0.024333 0.032437 0.043522 0.058275 0.079599
2025-08-31 0.013069 0.017618 0.023610 0.032144 0.044092 0.060380 0.084529
2025-09-07 0.012262 0.016833 0.022972 0.031897 0.044667 0.062471 0.089508
2025-09-14 0.011575 0.016163 0.022438 0.031739 0.045322 0.064669 0.094725
2025-09-21 0.010888 0.015445 0.021787 0.031356 0.045604 0.066307 0.099169
2025-09-28 0.010428 0.015021 0.021522 0.031504 0.046650 0.069094 0.105479
2025-10-05 0.009912 0.014509 0.021129 0.031483 0.047506 0.071748 0.111932
2025-10-12 0.009460 0.014069 0.020820 0.031575 0.048548 0.074759 0.119189
2025-10-19 0.009076 0.013706 0.020600 0.031779 0.049761 0.078093 0.127176
2025-10-26 0.008616 0.013197 0.020126 0.031547 0.050251 0.080281 0.133383
2025-11-02 0.008320 0.012925 0.019998 0.031850 0.051610 0.083941 0.142305
2025-11-09 0.007882 0.012403 0.019446 0.031427 0.051732 0.085537 0.147735
2025-11-16 0.007452 0.011871 0.018847 0.030887 0.051615 0.086703 0.152456
2025-11-23 0.007107 0.011459 0.018422 0.030609 0.051919 0.088594 0.158583
2025-11-30 0.006795 0.011086 0.018037 0.030375 0.052277 0.090584 0.165002
2025-12-07 0.006520 0.010759 0.017714 0.030225 0.052766 0.092822 0.172018
2025-12-14 0.006224 0.010381 0.017284 0.029862 0.052846 0.094312 0.177685